Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is effectively marking this contract at 0% for YES, so the conditional tokens for “More Markets” on FC Machida Zelvia v Urawa Red Diamonds are trading as if no further qualifying market outcome is expected before settlement. On Polygon, that means USDC-backed positions are priced with no premium for upside, and any move usually depends on whether the exchange starts to anticipate another listed market being added and resolved in time rather than on the match itself.
The two clubs have already met twice this season in the sources surfaced here, with Machida winning 2-1 away on 22 March 2026 and the 22 May fixture listed for 10:30 UTC / 6:30 am ET at Machida’s ground. That sort of prior head-to-head matters less for a “More Markets” contract than it would for a scoreline market, but it gives context for why traders should not confuse match volatility with market-creation risk. Comparable Polymarket sports contracts often sit at or near zero unless there is a live pathway for an additional sub-market to appear and settle inside the window.
The main catalysts are administrative rather than sporting: whether Polymarket adds any further market tied to this fixture, when it is listed, and whether there is enough time for resolution before the 10:30 UTC settlement deadline. ESPN’s live match page confirms the fixture and timing, while the official Urawa Reds site still shows the scheduled away game against FC Machida Zelvia, so the practical watchpoint is platform activity rather than team news. If no extra market is opened promptly, the 0% price is likely to remain anchored.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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