LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

DetonatioN FocusMe face Deep Cross Gaming in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three regular season match scheduled for 10 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The conditional token pair on Polymarket currently prices DetonatioN at 100 cents USDC on Polygon, reflecting zero implied probability for Deep Cross Gaming. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in DetonatioN's superiority or insufficient liquidity to move the market from its initial settlement.

DetonatioN FocusMe have historically dominated the LCP (now integrated into LCK regional play), whilst Deep Cross Gaming represents a lower-tier challenger organisation with limited track record against top-seeded teams. Prior matchups between established Korean organisations and newer entrants typically resolve decisively, though the LCP's competitive restructuring in 2024–2025 introduced greater parity. A 100% implied probability reflects the historical gap rather than accounting for upset potential that typically manifests in 5–15% of such fixtures.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and scrim results released in the week preceding 10 May, as mid-season roster swaps occasionally occur in Korean regional play. The settlement window closes at 15:15 ET on match day, allowing roughly ten hours post-completion for resolution. Cancellation risk remains minimal given LCK's established broadcast schedule, though technical delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 split. Current pricing offers no margin for Deep Cross Gaming backing, making any contrarian position dependent on unexpected roster changes or injury announcements.

Methodology

We track LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.