LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI face G2 Esports in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LEC Regular Season on 10 May 2026. The Polymarket contract currently prices KOI's victory at zero, reflecting the conditional token structure on Polygon where YES shares (KOI win) trade at negligible USDC value whilst G2 dominance commands the full settlement range. The match begins at 12:00 PM ET, with resolution occurring by 22:25 UTC the same day barring delays exceeding seven days.

G2 Esports have established themselves as consistent LEC contenders, historically favoured in matchups against mid-table Spanish franchises. KOI's roster composition and recent form relative to G2's established infrastructure typically generates asymmetric pricing in G2's favour across prediction markets. Prior LEC seasons show similar matchups between established organisations and newer franchises settling decisively toward the stronger squad, though upset potential remains non-zero in best-of-three formats where individual game variance matters.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time, as LEC teams occasionally field different line-ups for regular season matches. Schedule adherence matters critically here—any postponement beyond 7 May without completion triggers the 50-50 resolution clause, converting the contract into a coin flip regardless of underlying competitive expectation. Recent LEC broadcasts have maintained consistent scheduling, though technical issues or player unavailability could force delays.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/lec. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.