LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

T1 and Dplus KIA are scheduled to meet in a League of Legends best-of-three match during LCK Rounds 1-2 on 10 May at 4:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% YES, implying certainty that the match will occur and resolve to a winner rather than settling to 50-50 through cancellation, tie, or extended delay beyond seven days. This pricing reflects the LCK's established operational reliability and the low historical frequency of fixture abandonment in Korean professional League play.

T1 enters as the region's most decorated franchise with three world championships, whilst Dplus KIA represents the 2022 world champions. Historical matchups between top-tier LCK teams rarely face scheduling disruption; the league has maintained consistent fixture completion rates across multiple seasons. The 100% probability suggests traders are pricing in near-zero risk of the match being cancelled outright or delayed beyond the seven-day resolution window without a decisive result.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for any player illness, facility issues, or scheduling conflicts that could trigger postponement. The settlement window closes 10 May at 14:00 UTC, providing a ten-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Any announcement of fixture rescheduling beyond 17 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Current market pricing leaves minimal margin for tail risks; traders holding YES positions face concentrated exposure to operational disruptions rather than competitive uncertainty.

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.