Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Cleveland Guardians at 16% to beat the Detroit Tigers in today’s 1:10pm ET game, with USDC locked into Polygon-based conditional tokens that will pay out on the official result. That level implies the market sees Detroit as the clear favourite, but not an overwhelming one, and it leaves room for late line movement if the starting pitchers, line-ups, or weather shift before first pitch. For a user holding the YES side, the key question is whether the contract is offering enough upside against a result that still looks less likely than not.

Recent head-to-head results give the price some context. Cleveland beat Detroit 8-2 on Monday, with José Ramírez homering and driving in three, then followed with another win in the series on Tuesday, according to ESPN and MLB highlight coverage. Even so, the Tigers remain the stronger side overall in the standings picture, and one short series does not erase the broader form that has kept them priced as favourites. On a market like this, the 16% figure is more about game-specific variance than a season-long read.

Traders should watch for the confirmed starting pitchers, late injury or rest news, and any changes to the line-up card as the noon ET lock approaches. Because settlement follows the official MLB result, postponement risk matters too: if the game is delayed, the contract stays open until completion; if it is cancelled without a make-up, or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50. That means the practical drivers are not just team quality, but whether the scheduled matchup is played cleanly at Comerica Park.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.