Knicks vs. 76ers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Knicks face the Philadelphia 76ers on 8 May at 7:00 PM ET in what appears to be a playoff matchup, with settlement occurring at 23:00 UTC that same day. On Polymarket, this contract currently reflects 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing near-certainty that the game will occur and conclude within the settlement window. The USDC-denominated conditional tokens on Polygon are trading at extremes, indicating minimal perceived ambiguity around game completion.

Historical precedent from recent NBA playoff seasons shows that games scheduled for specific dates rarely face postponement unless extraordinary circumstances arise—weather delays are uncommon indoors, and the NBA's fixture scheduling typically accommodates venue availability well in advance. The 50-50 cancellation clause carries negligible weight in typical seasons; full cancellations without rescheduling have occurred only during league-wide stoppages or force majeure events. Current market pricing reflects this low-probability tail risk.

Traders should monitor roster updates and injury announcements through 8 May, particularly for either team's star players, as these could influence betting patterns on the underlying matchup without affecting game occurrence. The NBA's official schedule confirmation and any weather or facility alerts would be primary catalysts. Additionally, any league-wide developments—though unlikely this late in the season—could theoretically trigger postponement. The settlement mechanism's reliance on final score including overtime means the contract remains open until definitive conclusion, creating minimal settlement ambiguity once play begins.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.