Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
40% | 60% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
40% | 60% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 81% YES | 19% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
Market context
The game between the Golden Knights and the Avalanche is priced by Polymarket at about 40% for a Golden Knights resolution, with the remaining probability attached to Colorado. On the Polygon chain, traders are buying and selling USDC-settled conditional tokens, so the contract should track the final result only, including overtime and a shootout; a Vegas shootout win would still settle as Golden Knights after the extra goal is added for resolution.
That 40% implies Colorado is still the market favourite, but not by a wide margin. Recent preview markets have generally leaned Avalanche, with sportsbooks around the series and game markets listing Colorado as the shorter price and totals near 6.5 goals. That leaves room for a close game profile rather than a one-sided expectation, especially because NHL playoff games can swing sharply on special teams, goaltending and late-game variance.
For traders, the main catalysts are any late injury or lineup news, starting goalie confirmation and any schedule change that could push the game beyond the current settlement window. CBS Sports’ latest preview noted Colorado as roughly a -193 favourite with an over/under of 6.5, which is the kind of pre-game signal that can move this contract if confirmed line-ups reinforce the same edge. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; only a cancellation without a make-up would force the 50-50 outcome.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Golden Knights vs. Avalanche on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →