Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
57% | 43% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
57% | 43% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 2.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 19% YES | 82% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5) | 11% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Bologna and Inter Milan meet in Serie A on 24 May, with Polymarket currently pricing the "More Markets" contract at 57% YES, reflecting trader conviction that additional betting options will be offered on this fixture. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, giving liquidity providers a narrow window to assess whether secondary markets—such as first goalscorer, exact score, or player performance props—materialise on-chain before the final whistle.
Historical precedent suggests major Serie A fixtures between established clubs attract supplementary market creation. Inter's prominence in European competition and Bologna's recent resurgence into European qualification zones typically warrant expanded market offerings on Polymarket. The 57% probability sits between cautious and confident, indicating traders recognise the fixture's profile but acknowledge uncertainty around whether market operators will deploy conditional tokens for additional betting angles before kickoff or during the match window.
Traders should monitor fixture scheduling confirmations and any last-minute changes to the 9:00 AM ET start time, which could affect market deployment timings. Recent Serie A scheduling adjustments have occasionally compressed preparation windows for secondary market creation. Additionally, watch for announcements from Polymarket's market creation partners regarding their May fixture calendar; fixture postponements or venue changes would directly impact the likelihood of expanded market availability. The settlement mechanics hinge on whether "more markets" are actually listed and tradeable before the 13:00 UTC deadline, not on match outcomes themselves.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Trade Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano - More … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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