Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Lecce (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| US Lecce (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Lecce will travel to Genoa on 24 May for a Serie A fixture scheduled to kick off at 9:00 AM ET. The current Polymarket pricing reflects zero demand for "More Markets" conditional tokens on Polygon, suggesting traders are either uncertain about what additional markets the platform will offer for this match, or have not yet engaged with the contract. Settlement hinges on Polymarket's own decision to expand its offering beyond standard match outcomes—a dependency that sits outside traditional match analysis.
Historical precedent shows that Polymarket's conditional market expansion for Serie A fixtures has been sporadic and reactive rather than planned. When the platform has previously offered supplementary markets for Italian league matches, they typically emerge only after sufficient trading volume on primary contracts justifies the operational overhead. The 0% implied probability here reflects genuine ambiguity: traders cannot price something whose existence remains contingent on platform discretion rather than sporting outcomes.
The settlement window closes on 24 May at 13:00 UTC, giving Polymarket a narrow window post-match to determine whether additional markets warrant creation. Lecce's relegation battle and Genoa's mid-table positioning offer limited narrative hooks that would typically trigger expanded market coverage. Traders monitoring this contract should watch for any Polymarket announcements regarding Serie A coverage expansion in May, though no such statements have materialised as of recent reports. The contract's resolution ultimately depends on platform operations rather than match events themselves.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $213K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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