Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Roma's victory at 10% on USDC/Polygon conditional tokens, with settlement locked for 13:00 UTC on 24 May 2026. The underlying fixture is a Serie A encounter at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi in Verona, where the capital club travels to face a mid-table side in the final weeks of the season. At that stage of the campaign, both sides' European qualification hopes and relegation concerns will be largely determined, potentially affecting motivation and team selection.

Roma's recent form against promoted or struggling sides provides context for reading this probability. Over the past three seasons, Roma has won roughly 65% of away matches against bottom-half Serie A opposition, though Verona has proven a difficult fixture historically—the Giallorossi have drawn or lost their last two visits to the Bentegodi. Verona's home record typically improves against larger clubs due to their compact defensive shape and counter-attacking approach, which can neutralise Roma's possession advantage. The 10% price reflects Roma as clear favourites, yet the odds suggest meaningful uncertainty around team news and late-season circumstances.

Traders should monitor squad announcements in the fortnight before settlement, particularly regarding Roma's injury status and any European commitments that might carry over from earlier knockout rounds. Verona's form trajectory in April and May will signal whether they're playing for points or resting players. Recent Serie A scheduling announcements and any managerial changes at either club could shift conditional token pricing materially closer to settlement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.