Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Dallas Wings at Chicago Sky contract as a near-certain Dallas win, with the YES side effectively at 100%. On Polymarket, the position is held in USDC on Polygon and settled through conditional tokens, so the only thing that matters is the official game result before the settlement window closes. Because this market resolves on the winner, not the margin, a late swing in price would only come from a genuine change to the underlying game state, such as a postponement or a corrected official result.

The comparable reference point is the actual matchup on 20 May, which Dallas won 99-89 in Chicago, so a market already pinned to Dallas would usually reflect either a settled result or a stale price carrying over after confirmation. TheScore’s box score and ESPN’s game page both show the Wings as the 99-89 winners, while Fox Sports lists Jessica Shepard’s triple-double in the Dallas victory. For users reading this on Polymarket, that is the key context: if the contract is still open, the on-chain price is lagging the completed real-world result rather than forecasting an undecided game.

The practical catalysts to watch are not on-court form but market mechanics and league administration: official box score confirmation, any rescheduling notice, and whether the event is treated as completed within the settlement cut-off. ESPN’s preview page and theScore’s live event listing both align with the same fixture, and there is no sign in the cited sources of a postponement or abandonment. If the game remains officially final, the contract should track the documented winner; if the league were to announce a make-up date, the market would stay open until completion, while a cancellation with no replay would trigger the 50-50 fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.