Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova | 86% Alexandra Eala | 14% Nikola Bartunkova |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% Over 2.5 | 25% Under 2.5 |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5 | 99% Over | 1% Under |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner | 0% Eala | 100% Bartunkova |
Market context
Market consensus: 86% chance of birmingham: alexandra eala vs nikola bartunkova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Nikola Bartunkova in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page reviews Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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