Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Polymarket’s contract is effectively pricing Francisco Comesana at 0% and Jaume Munar at the full side of the book, so any trade in this market is currently a bet on whether the match actually gets completed and resolved on the scheduled Geneva Open path. On Polymarket, the contract settles in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, with the usual split between a named winner, a 50-50 outcome if the match is not played or drifts beyond the settlement window, and completion-based resolution if play starts but does not finish. With no YES interest showing, the market is treating Munar’s advance as the base case and leaving little room for a normal pre-match reprice.
The relevant framing is that both players are established ATP-level clay-court entrants, so a near-zero quote is less about a wide skill gap and more about the market having already moved to the event’s expected outcome. Historical tennis contracts of this type often stay pinned once the draw, surface, and scheduling are known, then only move on late withdrawal, weather disruption, or an in-match retirement that affects who is deemed to have advanced. In practice, that means the edge is usually not in the tennis abstract, but in whether the official tournament result is straightforward enough for on-chain settlement.
For traders, the key catalysts are the Geneva order of play, any late fitness or withdrawal news, and the actual start time relative to the settlement clock. ATP Geneva is a clay-event week with tight scheduling, so rain delays, reshuffles and walkovers are the main operational risks rather than long-term form narratives. Recent match listings and betting boards from outlets such as SportyTrader and Sportsbet have continued to treat Comesana v Munar as a scheduled Geneva Open round-of-16 fixture, while ATP head-to-head pages keep the pairing in the normal pre-match bucket; that is the sort of setup where a contract can sit inert until an official announcement or a delayed start changes the resolution path.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munar on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →