Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Borna Gojo v Jurij Rodionov qualifying match at 100% YES, so holders of the contract on Polygon are effectively saying the market already expects a settled winner rather than a cancellation or delayed no-contest outcome. Under Polymarket’s conditional-token structure, that means the USDC outcome is tied to whether one man advances at Roland Garros qualifying, with the fallback 50-50 only relevant if the match is not played, ends level, or drifts beyond the seven-day settlement window.

On form, the numbers are close enough to explain why this is a live tennis market rather than a pure formality. Rodionov, ranked 158, has come through qualifying without dropping a set, beating Dusan Lajovic and Gustavo Heide in straight sets. Gojo, ranked 172, has also advanced, but he has already conceded a set and gone deeper in games, including a three-set win over Henrique Rocha after beating Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg. That gives Rodionov the cleaner route, while Gojo has shown more resilience. The ATP head-to-head page and match listings from TennisTemple, Sofascore and Flashscore all point to a scheduled meeting on 22 May at Roland Garros qualifying.

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: official court scheduling, any last-minute withdrawal, and whether the match starts on time at the Paris venue. Tennis qualifiers can still be sensitive to rain interruptions and order-of-play changes, which matters because the market only resolves cleanly once an advance is determined. If the tie is suspended, the outcome depends on whether either player is later declared through; if not, the contract can fall back to 50-50 after the settlement rules bite.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.