Internationaux de Strasbourg: Clara Tauson vs Jaqueline Cristian

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Clara Tauson and Jaqueline Cristian were due to meet in the Strasbourg round of 16, but Polymarket has this contract priced at 0% YES, with traders assigning no live chance to a Tauson advance. On the market’s mechanics, the contract settles on the named winner if the match is completed, but if it is not played at all, ends level, or drifts beyond the seven-day window without a result, it resolves 50-50. Because the position is held in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, the key question is not the scoreline itself but whether the match is confirmed, completed, and resolved inside the settlement terms.

The historical frame is straightforward: these two have met before, and recent previews treated the contest as close, with pricing in the wider market near even money before the result moved against Tauson. That makes the current 0% figure more a reflection of the actual match outcome than of pre-match strength. Comparable clay-court women’s matches in the WTA calendar can swing quickly on scheduling and completion risk, particularly in week-to-week events where a delay or retirement can matter as much as a straight-set result for settlement purposes.

The main catalyst for traders is whether the tournament schedule holds and whether an official result is posted before the seven-day cut-off. Strasbourg coverage from outlets such as The Stats Zone and Tennis Tonic pointed to the match being staged as a round-of-16 fixture, while live score services later indicated Cristian had advanced. For Polymarket users, the practical watchpoints are simple: any official WTA/tournament confirmation of completion, any correction to the draw status, and any postponement or abandonment that could push the contract into the 50-50 fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.