Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Leviatán Esports and G2 Esports are priced on Polymarket at about 85% for Leviatán, with the contract settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens. That level implies the market expects Leviatán to win the upper-bracket final of VCT Americas Stage 1 more often than not, but it still leaves a meaningful tail for a G2 upset in a best-of-three, where map vetoes and side selection can matter.

The current number should be read against the teams’ recent playoff results, not just their names. Liquipedia records this exact matchup earlier in the event as a 3-1 win for Leviatán, which is consistent with why the market has Leviatán as a clear favourite rather than a near-lock. In Valorant, a team can dominate one series and still face a much lower edge in a rematch if the map pool shifts or the opponent adjusts its veto. A price in the mid-80s usually reflects that the favourite has looked stronger overall, but not enough to remove volatility from a BO3.

Traders should watch for any official timing updates from VCT Americas and whether the match stays within the settlement window, since a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date would push the contract to 50-50. The relevant event page on the VALORANT Esports site lists the playoff fixture, while live score listings on GosuGamers and Liquipedia confirm the match is on today’s bracket slate. If the series starts but is not completed, the market’s resolution still depends on the outcome rules in the contract, so any broadcast interruption or rescheduling is more material than the pre-match hype.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.