Ethereum price on May 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum is trading on Polymarket at a 0% yes price for the noon Binance ETH/USDT close on 22 May, with settlement tied to the 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET and cash exposure handled through USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens. In practical terms, the market is saying that none of the listed price brackets are being priced with any confidence, so the contract is effectively treating a noon print as too uncertain to anchor to a specific range.

That sits against a very mixed recent tape. Fortune reported ETH at $2,116.35 on 21 May, down $4.34 on the day and roughly $435 lower over the past year, while earlier in May it was around $2,407.90, showing that the coin has already moved materially within the month. On Robinhood’s related markets, traders were still assigning non-zero probability to a $1,970-or-above outcome and a 72¢ chance of $2,050-or-above for 22 May at 5pm EDT, which is a useful reminder that price expectations can stay clustered even when the noon Binance close is less liquid or less watched than the afternoon window.

The main catalysts are the spot ETH tape into the US midday fix, broader crypto risk sentiment, and any sharp move in bitcoin or macro rates before the settlement window closes. The key dependency is the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET, so traders should watch whether there is any late-session volatility, exchange-specific dislocations, or newsflow that could skew the exact close used for resolution. Recent coverage from Fortune highlighted how far ETH has already retraced from its 2025 peak near $5,000, which keeps the market sensitive to even modest intraday swings.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.