Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
OG face Team Yandex in a best-of-one group stage fixture at the BLAST Slam tournament, scheduled for 27 May at 05:10 ET. The match settlement window closes at 15:25 UTC the same day, allowing roughly ten hours for the fixture to conclude. Polymarket currently prices OG's victory at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in Team Yandex or technical liquidity constraints on this particular conditional token pair denominated in USDC on Polygon.
OG's historical dominance in Dota 2—two International titles and consistent top-four finishes at majors—typically commands significant probability mass in group stage encounters against lesser-ranked opponents. Team Yandex, whilst a credible CIS region representative, lacks comparable tournament pedigree. However, single-elimination group stages introduce volatility; upsets occur at roughly 15–20% frequency in comparable Dota 2 tournaments when seeding gaps are moderate. The zero probability assigned here suggests either the market has not yet attracted meaningful backing for the underdog, or traders view the matchup as sufficiently one-sided to warrant extreme pricing.
Key variables for settlement include fixture confirmation and scheduling adherence. BLAST Slam's published schedule should be monitored for postponements, as regional qualifiers and visa complications have delayed CIS-region fixtures previously. Any announcement of roster changes, stand-in players, or technical issues affecting either team would shift conditional token valuations materially. The tight settlement window—closing seven hours after the scheduled start—means delays beyond mid-afternoon UTC on 27 May trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a tail risk worth pricing into longer-dated positions.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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