Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Polymarket contract on 3DMAX defeating magic in their Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match at Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs is currently priced at 34 cents on the dollar, implying a one-in-three chance that 3DMAX advance. The match was scheduled for 27 May at 6:00 AM ET, with settlement locked in at 16:00 UTC that same day. Traders holding YES tokens on Polygon are betting against the crowd-implied probability, which suggests magic enter as slight favourites despite 3DMAX's seeding position.

3DMAX have established themselves as a consistent top-eight presence in competitive Counter-Strike over the past eighteen months, whilst magic represent a less predictable opponent with volatile map pool performance. Historical precedent from similar Stake Ranked tournaments shows that seeded teams in upper bracket quarterfinals convert their advantage roughly 60–65 per cent of the time, though this varies significantly based on recent form and roster stability. The 34 per cent pricing for 3DMAX suggests the market is weighting recent results or perceived momentum shifts rather than structural seeding advantage alone.

Key variables for traders centre on roster confirmations and practice schedules in the forty-eight hours before the scheduled start. Any late-stage substitutions or announced absences would trigger immediate repricing. The match format—best-of-three—introduces variance that favours the underdog more than longer series would, and map veto sequences typically favour teams with deeper tactical preparation. Monitor official Stake Ranked announcements for any schedule shifts, as the seven-day resolution window provides substantial buffer for rescheduling without triggering the 50-50 tie-break clause.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.