Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
58% | 42% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
58% | 42% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 58% Gentle Mates | 42% ex-RUBY |
| Map 2 Winner | 60% Gentle Mates | 41% ex-RUBY |
| Match Winner | 63% Gentle Mates | 38% ex-RUBY |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) | 35% Gentle Mates | 66% ex-RUBY |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) | 34% Gentle Mates | 67% ex-RUBY |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **Gentle Mates** side at **57%** on USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon, which is a modest favourite position rather than a strong market lean. In practical terms, that means traders are paying a small premium for the French side to win this BO3 playoff quarter-final against ex-RUBY before the settlement window closes, with the contract resolving to 50-50 only if the match is not played, is tied, or drifts beyond the seven-day delay rule.
The current number fits a fairly narrow playoff read rather than a dominant one. CCT Europe Series #4 is a Valve Tier 2 online event on Liquipedia, and ex-RUBY have already been active in the event, including a June 16 match against illwill, which points to recent match sharpness and a live bracket run rather than a cold start.[5][2] Gentle Mates also have recent CCT playoff precedent, having featured in earlier CCT Europe playoff action against Eternal Fire, so the market is effectively weighing established tier-two experience against a bracket where BO3 variance is still material.[4]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: official bracket updates, any schedule slip before the 20:00 UTC settlement cut-off, and whether the quarter-final is actually completed cleanly on the day. Liquipedia is the clearest live reference for the tournament structure and timing, while the Polymarket contract mechanics matter because a cancellation, tie, or excessive delay pushes the market to 50-50 rather than a team win.[5] In a BO3, that leaves late roster news, veto information, and start-time confirmation as the key items that can move a 57% price quickly.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT … on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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