Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons and ex-HEROIC will contest a best-of-one Dota 2 match in the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 16:00 UTC. The conditional tokens on Polymarket currently trade at parity—50 cents each for a Falcons win and an ex-HEROIC victory—reflecting genuine uncertainty about which roster will advance from this fixture. Settlement hinges on a decisive result within the scheduled window; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 split of the pool.

Falcons have established themselves as a consistent Middle Eastern qualifier, whilst ex-HEROIC represents a reconstituted European roster following the original HEROIC organisation's restructuring. Direct head-to-head records between these specific lineups remain sparse, making recent tournament placements the primary reference point. Falcons' qualification for BLAST events typically signals mid-tier competitive standing in the broader Dota circuit, whilst ex-HEROIC's participation suggests comparable tier positioning. The even odds reflect this symmetry rather than any clear structural advantage.

Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule adjustments from BLAST organisers, particularly given the compressed international Dota calendar. Patch notes released before 26 May could shift meta-dependent hero pools and favour one roster's preparation depth. The settlement deadline of 21:10 UTC on match day allows for standard broadcast delays but leaves minimal buffer for extended technical pauses or administrative review.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.