Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Dota 2 match on 26 May at 08:40 ET as part of the BLAST Slam Group Stage. The conditional tokens on Polymarket currently reflect a 50-50 split, pricing both outcomes as equally likely on the USDC/Polygon infrastructure. Settlement hinges on a decisive result by 18:40 UTC that day; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of underlying circumstances.
Both squads operate within the broader Southeast Asian competitive Dota 2 circuit, where roster stability and recent form carry substantial weight. PARIVISION's track record in regional qualifiers and group-stage environments provides a baseline for assessing their current standing, whilst Xtreme Gaming's performance in comparable tournaments offers a counterpoint. Historical matchups between teams of this tier often hinge on meta familiarity and individual player consistency rather than dramatic upsets, suggesting the even odds reflect genuine competitive parity rather than information asymmetry.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any schedule adjustments or roster changes in the days preceding the match, as last-minute substitutions or technical delays have occasionally affected group-stage fixtures. Patch updates to Dota 2 released shortly before the event could shift hero viability and preparation timelines. Team announcements regarding scrim results or coaching staff decisions occasionally surface on regional esports platforms and social media channels, though such signals remain difficult to quantify. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides meaningful protection against minor delays, but confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled remains the primary catalyst for price movement away from parity.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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