Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 3? | 50% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% RED Canids | 100% LOS |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% RED Canids | 50% LOS |
Market context
RED Canids and LOS will contest the grand final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs in League of Legends on 14 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner secures qualification to the broader Esports World Cup tournament. Polymarket currently prices this as a coin flip at 50%, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the matchup. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC the same day, allowing roughly ten hours post-scheduled start for the best-of-five series to conclude and resolve on-chain via conditional USDC tokens on Polygon.
RED Canids have historically dominated South American League of Legends competition, winning multiple regional championships and maintaining consistent playoff presence. LOS, whilst competitive in LATAM qualification rounds, carries less established track record against top-tier regional opposition. Historical precedent suggests favourites in regional finals typically command 55–65% implied probability; the current 50-50 split suggests traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive or are pricing in material uncertainty around team form, roster changes, or recent scrim performance data not yet public.
Traders should monitor official Riot Games announcements regarding any schedule shifts, which would trigger the seven-day delay clause leading to 50-50 resolution. Recent roster announcements from either organisation, published typically two to three weeks before playoffs, would signal preparation levels. Broadcast confirmation and pre-match commentary from regional League of Legends media outlets will surface tactical reads on draft strength and meta adaptation in the 48 hours preceding the match.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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