Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first two days of availability, with traders on Polymarket currently pricing zero probability that this metric reaches any of the defined brackets by the settlement deadline in June 2026. The market settles based on the view count displayed on his channel at the 48-hour mark, with bracket resolution favouring the higher range if the final figure lands between two thresholds. USDC collateral on Polygon backs the conditional tokens, meaning traders holding YES positions would receive payouts only if the video's view performance matches or exceeds whichever bracket resolves.
MrBeast's recent upload patterns show substantial variance in early performance. His "50 YouTube Legends" video and similar high-profile collaborations have historically accumulated between 50 and 150 million views within 48 hours, though individual videos fluctuate based on content type, upload timing, and audience engagement cycles. The zero-probability pricing suggests either the bracket thresholds are set considerably above his typical two-day performance range, or traders expect a material delay in his next upload before the June settlement window closes.
Catalysts affecting this market include MrBeast's production schedule—his uploads typically occur on Tuesdays or Thursdays—and any announcements regarding special collaborations or content series that might influence viewership velocity. Broader YouTube algorithm changes or platform policy shifts could also impact early-stage view accumulation, though these remain difficult to predict. The settlement window's length provides ample time for multiple videos to post, meaning traders should monitor his channel activity closely rather than assume a single upload will determine resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 2? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on Polymarket UK
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