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Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $202K Closes: 20 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket UK →
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket UK Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to libema open: adrian mannarino vs alex de minaur. This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Alex de Minaur in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannari…

Methodology

We track Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur on Polymarket UK

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