Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 7% Level UP | 94% Yellow Submarine |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) | 0% Yellow Submarine | 100% Level UP |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: level up vs yellow submarine (bo3) - the international europe open qualifier 1 playoffs stands at 7% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 4 match between Level UP and Yellow Submarine in the The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June …
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The Int… on Polymarket UK
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