Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
England and Croatia meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June at 4:00 PM ET, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, indicating traders assess an England halftime win as effectively impossible. The conditional token structure on Polygon means settlement hinges on official match data: three mutually exclusive outcomes (England win, draw, away win) partition the USDC collateral, with the YES token representing only an England lead at the interval.
Historical precedent suggests halftime England victories against Croatia warrant scrutiny. The nations last met competitively in the 2018 World Cup semi-final, where England drew 1–1 at half-time before losing 2–1 after extra time. In qualifying and friendly fixtures since 2018, England has secured halftime advantages in roughly 60% of matches against comparable opposition, though Croatia's defensive structure—particularly under Zlatko Dalić—has consistently limited first-half concessions. The 0% pricing reflects either extreme confidence in Croatian resilience or sparse liquidity in this specific conditional market.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly England's attacking personnel availability and any tactical adjustments Dalić announces. Croatia's qualification pathway and final preparation schedule will shape conditioning levels entering the tournament. Fixture congestion in the days preceding 17 June could influence halftime intensity; a side managing fatigue may sit deeper early. Weather conditions at the venue—temperature, humidity, pitch state—affect first-half pace and pressing intensity, both material to early scoring patterns.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $418K.
Methodology
This page reviews England vs. Croatia - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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