Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assists | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Declan Rice: 2+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Declan Rice: 3+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Declan Rice: 4+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assists | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| Elliot Anderson: 2+ goals + assists | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
England face Croatia in a World Cup fixture on 17 June at 4:00 PM ET, with player prop markets currently priced at 64% implied probability for the YES outcome. On Polymarket, this contract settles in USDC on Polygon once the match concludes and official statistics are confirmed. Traders are backing the proposition at roughly two-to-one odds, suggesting confidence in the underlying condition being met—whether that's a specific player reaching a goal tally, assist count, or appearance threshold.
Historical precedent matters here. England-Croatia fixtures carry particular weight in tournament memory; their Euro 2020 knockout encounter saw England prevail 2–1 after extra time, with Harry Kane and Sterling prominent in the narrative. Player prop markets on similar high-stakes European fixtures typically see YES probabilities cluster between 55% and 70% when the condition involves established starters from stronger squads. The 64% reading aligns with markets pricing in England's squad depth and Croatia's defensive vulnerabilities in recent tournaments, though conditional token mechanics mean any shift in team news reshapes the odds rapidly.
Traders should monitor squad announcements through mid-June, particularly injury updates affecting key attacking or defensive personnel. Polymarket's settlement depends on official FIFA records, so confirmation timelines matter—typically results are finalised within hours of full-time. Recent form data and starting XI confirmation closer to match day will likely drive volatility in the final trading window, as conditional tokens on Polygon respond immediately to new information without settlement delays.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $345K.
Methodology
This page reviews England vs. Croatia - Player Props across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade England vs. Croatia - Player Props on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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