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Spain vs. Cabo Verde

Five-platform snapshot of "Spain vs. Cabo Verde" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

91% YES 9% NO Volume: $437K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 15 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket UK →
Spain vs. Cabo Verde

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket UK Pick
polygram.ink
 91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.

Active sub-markets

Spain91% YES10% NO
Draw7% YES93% NO
Cabo Verde3% YES97% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to spain vs. cabo verde. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between Spain and Cabo Verde.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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