Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Germany vs Côte d’Ivoire at **4% YES**, so the contract is being treated as a low-frequency exact-score outcome rather than a view on who wins the match. Because settlement is on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market on Polygon via USDC and conditional tokens is really about whether the game lands on one of the listed scorelines, not about extra-time scenarios or penalty shoot-outs.

That kind of price is consistent with how exact-score markets usually behave in football: even in balanced fixtures, the probability mass gets spread across several plausible scorelines, with 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1 often taking most of the share while everything else is left to the “Any Other Score” bucket. Public bookmakers are also signalling a Germany edge in this match, with ESPN showing Germany as the favourite and FOX Sports listing Germany at around -190 on the moneyline, which supports the idea that a specific Germany victory is more likely than an exact score landing cleanly on a single outcome.[2][3]

For traders, the main catalysts are the official line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the teams approach the group stage cautiously or aggressively. FIFA has the kick-off listed for 20 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC, and the contract stays open if the match is postponed until it is completed, so timing risk is limited unless scheduling changes or weather disrupts play.[4] Historically, the only previous meeting between the sides ended 2-2 in a 2009 friendly, which is a reminder that draw outcomes are not impossible here even if the market currently gives Germany the stronger base case.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.