Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire is scheduled for the FIFA World Cup in Toronto on 20 June at 20:00 UTC, and Polymarket’s crowd is pricing the contract at **39% YES** today, which on a hands-on basis means the market is slightly discounting the chance that the specified “more markets” condition is satisfied before settlement. On Polymarket, that view is expressed in USDC terms through conditional tokens on Polygon, so the quoted price reflects traders’ expectations about whether qualifying sub-markets will be listed and resolved under the event rules, not the football result alone.

For context, a 39% read sits in the range often seen when traders expect at least one additional market to appear but do not have certainty on timing or scope. Comparable World Cup derivative contracts can move sharply once the match card is fixed and market definitions become clearer; Kalshi’s similar Germany–Côte d’Ivoire second-half market, for example, already has its own separate pricing, showing how the same fixture can support multiple settlement framings depending on what exactly is being asked[1]. The underlying match itself is officially on FIFA’s schedule, which gives the event a firm anchor, but not the structure of any extra markets layered on top of it[3].

The main catalysts to watch are FIFA or venue updates, any change to kick-off or match status, and whether Polymarket adds, edits, or leaves unchanged the related sub-markets before the settlement window closes on 20 June 2026. Traders will also track whether adjacent market activity tightens around the fixture as kickoff approaches, because more markets often depend on final event-page details rather than pre-match narratives. If the game were materially delayed or rescheduled, settlement mechanics could shift, so the live market price is effectively a read on both event certainty and contract design, not just Germany versus Côte d'Ivoire on the pitch.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.