Netherlands vs. Sweden - Exact Score

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Market context

Polymarket is pricing **Netherlands vs Sweden - Exact Score** at **5% YES**, so the contract is still treating a specific listed final score as a low-probability outcome rather than the base case. Because settlement is on the **90-minute result only** — with stoppage time included but extra time and penalties excluded — the on-chain position is really a bet on one precise scoreline, funded and settled in **USDC** on **Polygon** via conditional tokens.

That low price fits the wider score distribution in comparable football matches, where exact-score markets usually concentrate on a few common outcomes and leave most price to the catch-all “Any Other Score” bucket. Public pre-match pricing in the companion moneyline and totals markets leans towards a Dutch win and a relatively modest goal count, which implies that 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 1-1 and similar combinations matter more than any single scoreline on its own[2][1]. Head-to-head results between these sides have also been mixed rather than one-sided, with ESPN listing several Dutch wins, a draw and a Swedish win in past meetings[2].

A trader watching this market should focus on anything that can change the actual line-up or game state before kick-off: official team sheets, late injury or rotation news, and any schedule changes that would affect when the match reaches the settlement window. Reuters reported on 18 June that Sweden entered the fixture in strong form while the Dutch were still being questioned after a 2-2 draw with Japan, which is the sort of pre-match narrative that can move exact-score pricing as the market refines which outcomes are most plausible[7]. Because this market resolves only when the match is completed, any postponement keeps it open until the game is played.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.