Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: HEROIC Academy (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5) | 0% HEROIC Academy | 100% NEW VISION |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 91% Over | 10% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% HEROIC Academy | 0% NEW VISION |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) | 100% HEROIC Academy | 0% NEW VISION |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
HEROIC Academy face NEW VISION in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #4 Play-In bracket, scheduled for 8 June at 1:00 PM ET. The conditional tokens on Polymarket currently price HEROIC Academy's victory at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in NEW VISION or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful spread on USDC-denominated contracts. Settlement hinges on match completion by 15 June; cancellation, postponement beyond that window, or an unfinished series triggers a 50-50 resolution, which carries material weight given the qualifier's dependency on tournament scheduling.
HEROIC Academy operates as the academy roster for the established HEROIC organisation, typically fielding developing talent within competitive European Counter-Strike structures. NEW VISION's competitive standing within CCT Europe remains less documented in mainstream esports coverage, making direct head-to-head precedent difficult to establish. Play-In qualifiers historically show high volatility because academy and emerging teams often lack consistent match data; the 0% implied probability suggests traders either possess non-public information about team availability or the market has simply not attracted sufficient participation to price the contract fairly.
Traders should monitor CCT Europe's official schedule and team announcements through 7 June for roster changes, illness, or withdrawal notices. The qualifier format's reliance on same-day completion across multiple rounds means fixture congestion could delay this specific match beyond the settlement window. Polymarket's conditional token mechanics on Polygon mean positions remain liquid only if trading volume materialises; thin markets on academy-level esports fixtures often fail to attract sufficient counterparty interest for profitable exits.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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