Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 56% PARIVISION | 45% Monte |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) | 31% PARIVISION | 70% Monte |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) | 36% PARIVISION | 65% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
PARIVISION face Monte in a Round 2 best-of-three match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for 12 June at 07:30 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices PARIVISION's victory at 56% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism but meaningful uncertainty about the outcome. Settlement occurs at 17:30 UTC on the scheduled date, with conditional tokens on Polygon tracking the binary result in USDC terms.
IEM Cologne Major tournaments historically feature volatile matchups between tier-one and emerging rosters, particularly in early rounds where seeding and preparation asymmetries create pricing inefficiencies. Monte's recent performances in regional qualifiers and online tournaments provide limited sample sizes for direct comparison; PARIVISION's track record against similarly ranked opponents shows mixed results, with several close series that went to deciding maps. The 56% probability reflects genuine competitive uncertainty rather than dominant form from either side. Similar Round 2 matchups at major events have frequently resolved against crowd expectations when preparation advantages or map pool mismatches favour the underdog.
Traders should monitor official ESL scheduling updates and team roster confirmations through early June, as last-minute substitutions or technical issues have occasionally delayed Counter-Strike majors. Scrim results and public practice sessions in the week preceding 12 June may signal preparation intensity, though such information rarely shifts markets substantially. The settlement window's 7-day grace period mitigates cancellation risk, though forfeiture scenarios—rare but possible in online-adjacent formats—would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match begins but remains unfinished.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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