Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices the probability of Scotland leading at halftime at 0%, reflected in USDC settlement on Polygon conditional tokens. This extreme pricing suggests traders view a Scotland halftime advantage as effectively impossible given the competitive disparity between the nations.

Scotland's recent World Cup qualifying record shows mixed results against comparable opposition. In qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, Scotland drew 1–1 with Denmark and Ukraine but lost to both teams in other fixtures, indicating vulnerability to sides with organised defensive structures. Haiti's qualification path involved CONCACAF preliminaries against regional opposition; their last competitive international matches in 2024 showed defensive frailty and limited attacking cohesion. Historical halftime results in World Cup matches between nations separated by significant ranking gaps—Scotland currently sits around 37th in FIFA rankings, Haiti around 98th—rarely favour the lower-ranked side within the opening 45 minutes, though early goals remain probabilistically possible in any match.

Traders should monitor team news releases through early June, particularly regarding Scotland's squad fitness and tactical setup. Recent managerial statements from Scotland's coaching staff will clarify whether they intend to press aggressively from kickoff or adopt a controlled approach. Haiti's preparation details remain sparse in mainstream coverage; confirmation of their final squad and any late injuries could shift perceived match dynamics. Weather conditions at the venue—temperature and humidity—may influence pace and fatigue rates during the first half, though such factors rarely overturn fundamental competitive gaps.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.