Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 40% Over | 61% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 65% Over | 35% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 75% Over | 26% Under |
Market context
Korea Republic faces Czechia in a World Cup group-stage fixture on 11 June, with settlement hinging on whether total corners exceed a threshold the market currently prices at 44% probability on Polygon. The conditional token structure on Polymarket means traders holding YES positions receive USDC payouts only if corner count clears the bar; NO holders benefit from a lower tally. The 44% crowd price reflects moderate expectation of corner volume—neither a low-contact technical match nor a chaotic, wide-open affair.
Historical precedent from recent World Cup tournaments shows group-stage matches between mid-ranked sides typically generate 8–12 corners, with variance driven by tactical setup and injury status. Korea's 2022 Qatar campaign saw them average 9.3 corners across three group games, whilst Czechia's qualifying record showed similar patterns. Matches involving Korean sides tend toward controlled possession rather than desperate pressing, which suppresses corner frequency relative to more aggressive European teams. The current 44% YES pricing sits below the statistical midpoint, suggesting the market leans toward a tighter, lower-corner contest.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates to key midfielders or fullbacks who drive set-piece volume. Fixture congestion in the days before 11 June could influence squad rotation and intensity. Weather conditions in the host nation merit attention—wind and pitch state affect corner frequency materially. The settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC on 12 June, providing roughly four hours post-match for official corner tallies to be confirmed and conditional tokens redeemed on-chain.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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