Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Milwaukee to face the Brewers on 14 June at 2:10 PM ET in a regular-season National League Central matchup. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, reflecting either a technical issue with the market interface or an extreme consensus view that the Brewers will prevail. The settlement window extends to 21 June at 18:10 UTC, allowing seven days for game completion should postponement occur—a relevant buffer given June weather patterns in the Midwest.

Historical context for Phillies-Brewers matchups shows competitive balance across recent seasons, with neither team establishing decisive home-field dominance in June contests. The Brewers' home record at American Family Field typically favours the host, though the Phillies' 2023-2024 roster composition suggests competitive capability. A 0% market price on Philadelphia winning is statistically anomalous for a regular-season game between major-league opponents and warrants scrutiny regarding underlying conditional token mechanics on Polygon or USDC settlement conditions.

Traders should monitor roster updates through 13 June, particularly starting pitcher assignments and injury reports affecting both lineups. Recent form matters considerably—the Brewers' June performance trajectory and the Phillies' travel fatigue following road games will influence actual match conditions. Weather forecasts for Milwaukee on 14 June may trigger postponement considerations, which would keep this market open beyond the initial settlement window. Official MLB injury bulletins and team announcements typically arrive 24 hours before first pitch.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.