Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 3? | 90% Team Heretics Academy | 10% Eintracht Spandau |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% Team Heretics Academy | 50% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Team Heretics Academy | 100% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Team Heretics Academy | 100% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% Team Heretics Academy | 50% Eintracht Spandau |
Market context
Team Heretics Academy face Eintracht Spandau in a League of Legends quarterfinal best-of-five series on 13 June, with the USDC conditional tokens currently pricing both outcomes at parity on Polymarket. The match sits at 11:00 AM ET, giving traders a defined settlement window closing at 21:00 UTC the same day—a tight window that leaves minimal room for fixture delays to trigger the 50-50 resolution clause without a decisive result.
Heretics Academy enters as the favoured academy roster, drawing from one of Spain's most established esports organisations, whilst Spandau represents Berlin's competitive League infrastructure. Historical EMEA Masters tournaments have shown academy teams from major regional leagues typically advance further than independent or lower-tier franchises, though upsets remain common in best-of-five formats where meta shifts or individual player performance can swing momentum. The 50-50 pricing suggests the market perceives genuine competitive balance, rather than reflecting underlying structural advantages.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the fixture, as academy rosters occasionally rotate players between main and secondary teams. Patch notes released before 13 June will shape champion viability—particularly for junglers and supports, where meta-dependent picks often determine series outcomes. The Polymarket settlement depends entirely on match completion within the seven-day window; any postponement beyond 20 June without resolution triggers the 50-50 split, making fixture stability a material consideration for position holders.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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