Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Karmine Corp Blue | 0% Partizan Sangal |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 95% YES | 5% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Karmine Corp Blue face Partizan Sangal in a best-of-one League of Legends fixture within the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage format on 8 June at 11:00 AM ET. The match determines seeding progression through the regional qualifying tournament, which feeds into broader European competition. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 100% YES for Karmine Corp Blue, reflecting either overwhelming confidence in the French organisation's roster or minimal liquidity depth on the Polygon-settled USDC pair. The 50-50 resolution clause—triggered if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie—creates a discrete tail risk that traders must weigh against the binary outcome.
Karmine Corp's academy team has historically underperformed relative to the organisation's LEC main roster, whilst Partizan Sangal represents the Serbian competitive circuit's established infrastructure. Swiss Stage formats in esports typically produce tighter matchups than single-elimination brackets, as teams face opponents matched to their current record rather than seeding. Recent EMEA Masters tournaments have seen academy-level teams from major regions compete closely with established regional representatives, though French organisations' depth advantage remains material.
Traders should monitor official LEC and EMEA Masters scheduling announcements through 7 June for any fixture delays or cancellations. Technical issues or player availability problems occasionally force rescheduling in online-format tournaments. The match's position early in the Swiss Stage means both teams enter with 0–0 records, removing record-based momentum as a differentiator. Settlement occurs at 21:00 UTC on 8 June, providing a hard deadline for match completion.
Methodology
We track LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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