Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 90% FUT Esports | 10% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 10% Over | 90% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 100% FUT Esports | 1% Team Vitality |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5) | 100% FUT Esports | 1% Team Vitality |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5) | 50% FUT Esports | 51% Team Vitality |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Team Vitality face FUT Esports in a Round 2 group-stage match at VCT Masters London on 8 June, with the Polymarket contract currently pricing Vitality's victory at 90 cents per share on USDC/Polygon. The match is scheduled for 10:00 AM ET, with settlement conditional on a completed best-of-three result by 20:00 UTC that same day. The 90% implied probability reflects Vitality's standing as a significantly favoured outfit, though the settlement window's seven-day extension clause and tie-resolution mechanism introduce operational risk beyond pure match outcome uncertainty.
Vitality's recent form in international competition and roster stability provide the foundation for current pricing. The French organisation has consistently performed at Masters-level events, whilst FUT Esports—a Brazilian squad—typically operates at a tier below Vitality in competitive hierarchy. Historical VCT Masters matchups between European and Brazilian teams at this stage have favoured the European representatives, though upsets remain possible in best-of-three formats where map selection and preparation matter substantially. FUT's qualification to this stage itself signals competitive capability that shouldn't be discounted entirely.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations and any last-minute roster changes or visa complications affecting either team's participation. Polymarket's conditional token structure means the 50-50 resolution clause activates only if the match doesn't conclude within the seven-day window or is cancelled outright—a scenario with low probability given Riot's operational track record. Map pool updates or patch changes released between now and 8 June could theoretically shift preparation dynamics, though such shifts rarely move markets significantly at this stage.
Methodology
We track Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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