Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

All Gamers face TYLOO in the third-place playoff of China Evolution Series Act 2, a best-of-five Valorant match scheduled for 30 May at 05:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices All Gamers' victory at 82 cents per conditional token on Polygon, implying roughly four-to-one odds against TYLOO. This pricing reflects a substantial confidence gap between the two Chinese regional competitors, though the settlement window's 7-day buffer creates operational risk if scheduling complications arise.

TYLOO has historically underperformed relative to top-tier Chinese squads in domestic tournaments, whilst All Gamers demonstrated stronger consistency through the group stage. Comparable third-place matches in regional Valorant circuits show that seeding and momentum from earlier rounds typically correlate with outcomes; teams reaching this stage from the winners' bracket tend to convert at higher rates than those arriving from the losers' bracket. The 82% probability aligns with All Gamers' superior positioning heading into playoffs, though third-place matches carry inherent volatility given both teams' motivation to secure final rankings.

Traders should monitor official CES Act 2 scheduling announcements for any postponements or format changes, particularly given China's regional broadcast windows and potential venue constraints. Recent VCN coverage has emphasised roster stability across both squads, reducing injury-related uncertainty. The critical catalyst remains the match's actual commencement; if either team forfeits or the match extends beyond 7 days without resolution, the contract settles 50-50 regardless of current pricing, creating tail-risk exposure for YES holders.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.