World prediction market · Vol. $60.7M
| Tarcisio de Freitas | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Fernando Haddad | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely
The Polymarket market "Brazil Presidential Election" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. World markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 4 October 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly