Fed decision in April?
Yes 1%
No 99%
Vol. $241.3M
World prediction market · Vol. $119.6M
| December 31 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| March 31 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| June 30 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| April 30 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| May 31 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be
The Polymarket market "Netanyahu out by...?" is currently trading at 44% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 44%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. World markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 31 December 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly