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Next French Presidential Election

6% YES 94% NO

World prediction market · Vol. $53.9M

Volume
$53.9M
Liquidity
$4.8M
Closes
30 April 2027

Market Outcomes

Marine Le Pen 6% YES95% NO
Éric Zemmour 1% YES99% NO
David Lisnard 4% YES96% NO
Laurent Wauquiez 1% YES99% NO
Gabriel Attal 4% YES96% NO
François Hollande 4% YES96% NO

What is this market?

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resol

Current Probability

The Polymarket market "Next French Presidential Election" is currently trading at 6% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 6%.

These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.

Why this market matters

Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. World markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 30 April 2027 with automatic USDC settlement.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.

What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.

Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.