Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Lavked and HEROIC Academy are scheduled to face off in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 29 May at 10:00 AM ET as part of the CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage. The current Polymarket pricing reflects 100% implied probability for match completion, with USDC settlement on Polygon conditional tokens. This suggests the crowd expects the fixture to proceed as scheduled without cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay—the three scenarios that would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
CCT Europe tournaments have maintained consistent scheduling through their group stages, with cancellations or extended delays remaining rare in the circuit's recent history. HEROIC Academy, the academy roster of the established HEROIC organisation, typically fields reliable participation in structured league play. Lavked's involvement in tier-two European competition similarly indicates organisational stability. The 100% probability reflects confidence in administrative execution rather than predictive certainty about match outcome, which would normally trade closer to 50-50 for evenly matched teams.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements for any schedule adjustments, player roster changes affecting either team's availability, or technical issues with broadcast infrastructure. Recent Counter-Strike events have occasionally experienced minor delays without triggering the seven-day threshold, so timing precision matters for settlement. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 29 May, providing a ten-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time to accommodate standard match duration and administrative confirmation of results.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket UK →