Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Team Liquid and OG are scheduled to face off in a best-of-one Dota 2 match on 29 May at 12:10 PM ET as part of the BLAST Slam Group Stage. The current Polymarket pricing reflects near-certainty that this match will occur and produce a decisive winner, with conditional tokens trading at 100% YES. On-chain settlement hinges on whether either team emerges victorious within the seven-day window; cancellations, ties, or extended delays beyond that threshold trigger a 50-50 resolution, whilst forfeits or disqualifications resolve according to the winning team's designation.
Historically, BLAST tournaments have maintained reliable scheduling and completion rates. Both Team Liquid and OG are established Dota 2 organisations with consistent participation records, reducing the likelihood of withdrawal or administrative issues that would trigger alternative settlement conditions. Previous BLAST Slam events saw minimal fixture disruptions, though unforeseen circumstances—player illness, technical failures, or visa complications—have occasionally delayed professional Dota 2 matches by days. The 100% probability currently priced into the YES token suggests traders are heavily discounting these tail risks.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official announcements for any schedule changes or team roster updates in the days preceding the fixture. Recent reporting from esports news outlets has tracked both organisations' preparation for the event, though no material disruptions have been flagged. The settlement window closes 29 May at 23:40 UTC, providing a buffer beyond the scheduled start time but creating a hard deadline for match completion; any postponement announced after 22 May would materially shift the risk profile of the conditional tokens.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group S… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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