Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5) | 100% Grind Back | 1% Execration |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 91% Over | 10% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
Market context
Polymarket prices this contract at **100% YES** on USDC collateral locked into Polygon conditional tokens, which means the market is currently treating an Execration win over Grind Back as fully priced in. The underlying event is the scheduled lower-bracket semifinal in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three set to decide who advances and who is eliminated from the qualifier path.[1][2]
That kind of near-certain pricing is usually seen when the market expects the match to be played as scheduled and one side to have a decisive edge, but Dota 2 qualifier markets can still move if the official bracket changes, a walkover is reported, or the series is not completed within the settlement rules. Execration have a much longer and more established competitive footprint than Grind Back, who appear to be a newer team with a narrower public results trail, so traders are effectively relying on limited information rather than a deep head-to-head history.[2][3][8]
For a Polymarket user, the main catalysts are straightforward: whether the organiser confirms the 7:00AM ET start, whether the lower-bracket match is actually played, and whether the series finishes cleanly inside the seven-day window. If the game is delayed, abandoned, or ends without a winner under the market rules, the contract can settle 50-50 rather than resolving to either team, so bracket updates and official match-room status matter more than pre-match sentiment in a fully priced market.[1][4]
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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