Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing REKONIX vs OG at **25% YES** on Polygon, where positions are represented by conditional tokens and settle in **USDC** once the match outcome is determined. The contract resolves to REKONIX if they win the best-of-three, to OG if OG win, and to a **50-50** outcome if the match is not played, ends tied, or slips more than seven days without a winner.

The current price sits below what past head-to-head results suggest on their own. OG beat REKONIX in a BLAST Slam VI group-stage meeting earlier in 2026, but REKONIX took the more recent direct series in February by **2-0** at BLAST Slam VI, and another SEA qualifier listing shows REKONIX as the higher live price versus OG in this bracket context. That mix usually leaves the market sensitive to bracket position, format, and whether the result is an official playoff match or a lower-stakes group or qualifier game.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple but binary: confirm the match actually starts, watch for any schedule slippage, and check whether the best-of-three is completed inside the settlement window. GosuGamers lists the fixture as a live TI 2026 closed-qualifier playoff match, with REKONIX ranked 61 and OG ranked 18, which supports the idea that the market is reacting to both team strength and bracket context rather than reputation alone. In practice, Polymarket holders are exposed less to the abstract event and more to whether the result is cleanly recorded on time under the contract rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.