Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Team Yandex face GLYPH in a best-of-one Dota 2 fixture within the BLAST Slam Group Stage, scheduled for 29 May at 05:10 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Team Yandex victory at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in GLYPH or minimal liquidity in the order book. Settlement hinges on match completion by 5 June; cancellation, ties, or delays beyond that window trigger a 50-50 split of conditional tokens on Polygon.
Historical precedent suggests caution with zero-probability pricing in esports group-stage fixtures. Upsets occur regularly in Dota 2's competitive landscape, particularly in single-elimination formats where draft variance and momentum shifts carry outsized weight. Team Yandex, despite their current underdog status on this contract, have demonstrated capability against comparable opponents in recent months. The 0% reading likely reflects limited trading volume rather than informed consensus, a common pattern in niche esports markets where casual traders concentrate positions.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule for any postponements or format changes, as group-stage matches occasionally shift timing due to broadcast windows or technical issues. Team composition updates and recent scrim results—typically shared by team accounts on social media in the 48 hours before fixture play—can shift expectations materially. The match's position within the broader tournament structure matters; if either team faces elimination pressure or has already secured advancement, tactical approach may diverge from standard play. Current odds suggest minimal market participation; meaningful movement would require either fresh liquidity or credible information about team readiness.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Grou… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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