Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
71% | 29% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
71% | 29% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 2.5 | 71% Over | 30% Under |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Iraq (-2.5) | 0% Iraq | 100% France |
| O/U 5.5 | 16% Over | 85% Under |
| O/U 0.5 | 98% Over | 2% Under |
| O/U 4.5 | 30% Over | 71% Under |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing **More Markets** on France vs Iraq at **71% YES** today, with settlement tied to whether additional markets are listed before the window closes on 22 June at 21:00 UTC. On Polymarket, the position is cash-settled in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, so the relevant question is not the match result itself but whether the event attracts further market creation before expiry.
For read-across, this kind of contract usually tracks the platform’s willingness to list derivative or side markets once a game is firmly on the slate and drawing liquidity. France vs Iraq is already confirmed for 22 June at 5:00 pm ET in Philadelphia, and external books and match listings are carrying it as a Group I World Cup fixture, with France strongly favoured in the separate match markets[1][2][7]. That matters because Polymarket’s “more markets” outcomes often hinge less on sporting uncertainty than on how much commercial and trading interest a fixture generates before kick-off; a heavily watched match can support props around goals, cards, team totals, player stats, or related dependencies.
The main catalysts are straightforward: any late schedule change, venue or broadcast update, or new market launch on the event page before the cutoff. FOX is already promoting live coverage, and FIFA’s match centre confirms the fixture timing, so there is no obvious scheduling ambiguity at present[1][7]. A trader watching this contract would focus on whether Polymarket adds companion markets as the deadline approaches, because the settlement depends on platform listings rather than on France’s result, line movement, or in-play scoreline.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $283K.
Methodology
This page reviews France vs. Iraq - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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